31.10.07

Oracle eyes the supply chain

Oracle has turned its focus to providing end-to-end supply chain management (SCM) solutions as well as introducing a new pricing model to tap into companies with no IT department of their own capable of installing its enterprise software.

Speaking to journalists in Bangkok, Jasbir Singh, Oracle senior director for supply chain management in Asia Pacific, explained that the last major shakeup was the introduction of enterprise resource planning (ERP) systems which took place 10 years ago. Today, these companies are now looking more at supply chain management to orchestrate the extended supply chain, which spans hundreds, if not thousands of suppliers and logistics partners. He added that procurement is not longer a function that was optimised in isolation.

Singh spoke of the evolution of technology companies such as Texas Instruments and Motorola as a good example of how the world has changed. In the past, research and development from design to manufacturing, testing, packaging and shipping used to be 100 percent done by the company. However, today, design may be done by Motorola, but production is often done by Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC). Another company will do the slicing and packaging of the chips, another will then ship them to the distributors or end customers.

One reason for the change is that logistics used to be an insignificant fraction of the finished product. With today's razor thin margins, however, that figure is now closer to 30 percent.

Today companies like Dell, Nokia, Cisco and Apple have no in-house manufacturing capabilities. When Apple designs a new iPod, for example, the message goes out to a contract manufacturer which then announces the needs for components to 400 or more sub-contractors. Many of these need to secure supplies from their own suppliers and many supply parts to one another.

Procurement needs to be automated as much as possible so that the contract manufacturer can focus only on the few suppliers that say that they cannot meet the required schedule and find alternatives. "It is no longer a supply chain, but a supply network," he said.

Oracle has recently acquired G-Log and Demantra and today claims to be the only software vendor that has an end-to-end SCM suite. Oracle claims that Demantra runs as well on SAP's Netweaver as it does on Fusion.

For the local market, ICE Solution is one of the major system integrator partners that will be preaching the SCM vision to local companies alongside the very popular warehouse management and transportation management solutions, which continue to be in demand.

Oracle says it is going to tap more Thai companies through new BPO (business process outsourcing) pricing. In the past, many system integrators and partners have offered Software as a Service (SaaS) type solutions by buying Oracle software outright and then billing their customers on a per use or per transaction basis. With the new BPO pricing, Oracle will charge the SI with bills settled each month. BPO pricing will start with Human Resources and Logistics software but with the door open for SCM.

One of the reasons for the popularity of hosted solutions is the acute shortage of IT personnel in the Thai market, according to Oracle.

Author: DON SAMBANDARAKSA @ www.bangkokpost.com


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30.10.07

PeopleSoft Users Weigh Risks of Oracle's Rapid Growth

If Oracle is successful in its attempt to acquire BEA Systems, it will be the company's 37th acquisition since 2005, when it began its buying spree with the takeover of PeopleSoft. While Oracle isn't the most acquisitive company in the software pantheon—IBM and Infor have bought nearly as many companies in the same time frame—Oracle is by far the most tenacious in its approach. But outwardly it also takes a highly conciliatory approach to its acquired customer bases.

After early hints that it would acquire PeopleSoft's customer base and then kill the software, Oracle had a lot of customer fears to quell. And quell it did with an offer for unlimited applications support for PeopleSoft and JD Edwards users. But some PeopleSoft customers are expressing concern about Oracle's service quality. And this is raising questions about whether Oracle is as successful as it claims about integrating its many acquisitions. The situation with PeopleSoft could be a barometer for how BEA customers would fare under the Oracle aegis.

"We feel like there is risk in moving forward with PeopleSoft and we're trying to asses that risk," said George Muller, vice president and CIO at Imperial Sugar in Sugar Land, Texas, who is weighing an upgrade to PeopleSoft Enterprise 9 recently released by Oracle. "From my perspective there are a number of companies that have abandoned PeopleSoft and have gone in other directions."

An active member of a number of PeopleSoft (and now Oracle) applications user groups, Muller said that he has seen a drastic reduction in the number of companies represented by at least one organization, Distributors and Manufacturers Users Group, that bills itself as a "product-specific users group comprised of all PeopleSoft customers that have licensed a PeopleSoft Distribution, Manufacturing and/or Supply Chain Product," according to the group's Web site.

In April 2005, Muller said there were approximately 150 companies represented at DMUG's annual meeting in New Orleans. By October 2006, the group had dwindled to half, or about 75 companies represented. "In a year and a half what I witnessed was a 50 percent drop off in participation," said Muller. "They're either holding their own or they are going someplace else."

At the October 2006 meeting, Oracle's PeopleSoft group made a pitch to the DMUG membership that amounted to "we're back," according to Muller. "Why would you have to sell that to me if you're really back, rather than demonstrating to me that you're back by making phone calls to me, by reaching out proactively to me, by addressing issues when I call the help desk?" said Muller.

"When you step back and look at the acquisitions Oracle has made…how does any one organization absorb that much and still execute and service the customer?"

Steve Canter, CIO of Berlin Packaging and the current president of DMUG, said that while he has seen as good or in some areas improved customer service under Oracle's watch of PeopleSoft applications, he believes the functionality upgrades are not what they used to be.

"One of the things we are seeing is in many of the applications lines there is not as much going on in terms of product feature enhancements as there once was," said Canter in Chicago.

"PeopleSoft had decided after the JD Edwards acquisition that they were going to put more marketing behind the JD Edwards line—for manufacturers—so as a result, if they were not going to be leading with PeopleSoft on their go-to-market strategy then there was not as much incentive to make enhancements," Canter said. Oracle appears to be continuing this trend with some of the other product lines, Canter said.

While Canter is staying on PeopleSoft for the foreseeable future because he believes it's too disruptive to move, he is seeing some disturbing trends at Oracle. For one, rather than integrating functionality that it acquires from other companies, as PeopleSoft would have done in the past, Oracle is pointing to its other product lines.

While the strategy to leverage other lines makes sense from a business standpoint, for a midmarket CIO it's a tough pill to swallow. "We don't have the resources to support a lot of different stacks," said Canter. "And no matter how good application integration is, it's better to have everything under a single umbrella; it's one of the reasons we chose a single umbrella. But the world seems to be drifting away from that—led by Oracle."

Customers also point to resources being moved away from core application development to Fusion development as the source for at least some of the issues with PeopleSoft's software. "I definitely have evidence to back this," said Canter. "A lot of strategy and development effort is going toward Fusion, and that can't help but take away from other product lines."

Oracle's intended acquisition of BEA, which develops middleware, has brought Oracle's Fusion efforts into question. The recent departure of John Wookey as head of application development for Fusion Applications has heightened concern about the middleware's prospects. Imperial Sugar's Muller pointed out that after 30 years in the IT business, he's realized there is no perfect system, and Fusion Applications will be no exception to the rule.

"No matter how good your methodologies and processes are, putting something together and bundling something that massive is a huge undertaking and has R-I-S-K in capital letters written across the top."

As the underpinning for Oracle's Fusion Applications, Fusion Middleware is a compilation of integration, business intelligence, business process management, development tools and other software that Oracle has said is its fastest growing product line. It has also pointed to growing market share over BEA given a superior technology stack.

But there are those that question Oracle's tactics in seeking to acquire BEA. "I don't understand the whole BEA thing," said Canter. "If Fusion Middleware were as great as Oracle is saying, why yet another middleware [company]?"

Andrew Albarelle, principal executive officer of Remy Corp., a consulting and executive search company that serves PeopleSoft, Oracle, Lawson and other Human Capital Management users, said that he is thrilled with Oracle's attempt to acquire BEA because it gives his company more continuity with its PeopleSoft implementation, which utilizes BEA's middleware (as do many other PeopleSoft implementations).

Oracle's Fusion Middleware customers could also benefit from the BEA acquisition, according to Albarelle, given that Fusion Middleware's functionality isn't up to specs. "Everybody that's installed it hasn't used it yet," said Albarelle, referring to his customer base. "They didn't feel that it was up to speed for what they needed to do, so they didn't load it yet," said Albarelle.

While the acquisition of BEA might benefit Oracle's bottom line by adding another technology stack and a blue chip customer roster, the PeopleSoft customer experiences naturally raise questions about how BEA customers will fare.

"For BEA customers it's like going to a Halloween haunted house and every door you open there's PeopleSoft, Hyperion, Siebel—there are the skeletons, the cats, the jack-o-lanterns and the witches," Muller said. "As you walk through the haunted house there's the graveyard at the end with all the tombstones with the names of the customers with R.I.P on the tombstones," he said.

Author: Renee Boucher Ferguson @ news.yahoo.com


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29.10.07

Oracle May Acquire Rival BEA Without Raising $6.7 Billion Offer

Oct. 29 (Bloomberg) -- Oracle Corp., the world's third- largest software maker, may land BEA Systems Inc. without raising the $6.7 billion hostile bid rejected by its California rival.

BEA's board says it wants more than $8 billion, and let Oracle's offer expire yesterday at 8 p.m. New York time. Because no other suitors have emerged, Oracle may renew its bid or offer a lower price than its $17 a share proposal, said Peter Goldmacher, a Cowen & Co. analyst in San Francisco.

"BEA is badly miscalculating Oracle's desire,'' said Goldmacher, who rates Oracle shares "outperform'' and doesn't own them. "Oracle doesn't need BEA. At some point, Oracle will buy these guys, but it's completely at Oracle's discretion.''

Oracle said yesterday after the offer expired it is now up to shareholders to take "appropriate action'' if they disagree with the BEA board's decision. Billionaire investor Carl Icahn, BEA's largest shareholder, stepped up demands on the company last week, insisting it put Oracle's bid to a shareholder vote if there isn't a higher offer.

"There's so much pressure on BEA from shareholders that they will have to ultimately succumb to an acquisition at $17,'' said Chris Hickey, an analyst for London-based Atlantic Equities. "Time is on Oracle's side.''

A merger with a larger company may help BEA grow faster. BEA's sales of new software licenses, its main indicator of future growth, fell 11 percent in the six months ended July 31. BEA sells so-called middleware programs that help different computer applications share information.

Redwood City, California-based Oracle disclosed its bid Oct. 12. The offer was 25 percent more than BEA's closing price the previous day. Last week, San Jose, California-based BEA said its stock was worth $21, calling Oracle's bid ``unacceptable.''

BEA fell $1.03 to $16.50 on Oct. 26 in Nasdaq Stock Market trading. Oracle added 35 cents to $21.35.

No Bidders Likely

BEA's board repeatedly refused to meet Oracle officials to discuss the offer, and shareholders shouldn't assume Oracle will make another offer later, Oracle said in a statement last night.

"BEA's business might materially weaken, the stock market can fall further from its recent record highs or Oracle may have committed its capital elsewhere,'' Oracle said. "If the BEA shareholders are unhappy with the behavior of the BEA board, it is up to those shareholders, not Oracle, to take the appropriate action.''

Oracle Chief Executive Officer Larry Ellison sought to buy BEA to get its software-maintenance revenue, Goldmacher said. Oracle would cut costs by firing most of BEA's employees, he said.

Oracle spokesman Bob Wynne and BEA's Kevin Hayden didn't return calls seeking comment.

Business Objects

Ellison, whose company trails Microsoft Corp. and International Business Machines Corp. in total software sales, said last month he wants to ``beat IBM'' in middleware.

No other company will match or exceed Oracle's offer because no one else stands to gain as much from the purchase, said Charles Di Bona, an analyst at Sanford C. Bernstein in New York. He rates BEA ``underperform'' and Oracle "market perform'' and owns neither stock.

BEA's counteroffer of $21 a share would make a deal more expensive than Oracle rival SAP AG's purchase of Business Objects SA, based on the price paid divided by revenue. That wouldn't make sense because Paris-based Business Objects is growing faster than BEA, said Brad Manuilow, an analyst at American Technology Research in San Francisco.

A bid without the BEA board's support wouldn't succeed because of takeover defenses including a so-called "poison pill'', Goldmacher said.

Tailspin

While BEA once dominated its market, the company lost that lead to Armonk, New York-based IBM. BEA plans to restate results to cut profit by $425 million, before taxes, for fiscal 1998 through the first quarter of fiscal 2007 to account for misdated stock-option grants and severance contracts.

"BEA is in a tailspin,'' Goldmacher said. "At $17, it would be a graceful exit for BEA, which has been in rough shape for a while.''

A bright spot is BEA's maintenance fees, which rose 21 percent to $714.9 million in the past four quarters. Such fees are Oracle's "highest-margin business unit,'' the company said in a filing this month.

While lucrative, that revenue isn't central to Oracle's efforts to take customers from IBM and Walldorf, Germany-based SAP. That means Oracle may just walk away from the BEA deal, analysts said.

"The only person who really knows if this gets done is Larry Ellison,'' said Manuilow, who rates Oracle "buy.'' "He's the one who ultimately pulls the trigger.''

Author: Ville Heiskanen @ Bloomberg.com


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